Thursday, July 17 / 17:15 - 18:45 Meeting Room P9 - -

Session 175
Innovative Forecasting

Chair: Anne Goujon, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) & Vienna Institute of Demography

1. Forecasting Migration: A Model Averaging ApproachJesus Crespo Cuaresma, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU); Jakob Zellmann, Department of Statistical Sciences - University of Bologna; Juan Caballero, World Data Lab; Katharina Fenz, World Data Lab; Teodor Yankov, University of Oxford.

2. Forecasting Africa’s Fertility Decline by Female Education GroupsEndale Kebede, University of Vienna; Saroja Adhikari, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR); Wolfgang Lutz, Wittgenstein Centre.

3. Conditional Probabilistic Projections of Fertility Given Policy Intervention ScenariosDaphne Liu, University of Washington Department of Statistics; Vladimira Kantorova, United Nations; Mark Wheldon, United Nations Population Division; Patrick Gerland, United Nations Population Division.

4. Disaggregation of Net Migration to Improve Projections by Age and SexJames Raymer, Australian National University.

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